Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 20-20 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 50.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Suzuki
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
20
(40 meetings)
20
20
Suzuki
Stamkos
Last 10: Suzuki 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
5
11
Suzuki
Stamkos
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
13
5
Suzuki
Stamkos
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Suzuki
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
50.4% (9,799)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
55.1% (1,725)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
49.7% (825)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Suzuki shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stamkos
Home
51.0% (3,997)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Suzuki
Stamkos
P1
48.8%
49.1%
P2
49.1%
52.7%
P3
50.2%
50.9%
OT
44.4%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 04:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 01:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |