Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 54.0%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 58.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 55.8%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Suzuki
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Suzuki
Stamkos
Last 5: Suzuki 3-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Suzuki
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
49.3% (670)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
53.7% (121)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
33.3% (3)
+3.1%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Suzuki shoots right. Stamkos is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stamkos
Home
53.2% (645)
54.0% (400)
Away
50.1% (673)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Suzuki
Stamkos
P1
48.9%
48.6%
P2
51.5%
54.5%
P3
54.9%
45.4%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |