Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Suzuki wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 59.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 50.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Suzuki
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Suzuki
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Suzuki
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
55.9% (499)
-4.6%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
56.3% (126)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
58.3% (12)
-1.4%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Suzuki shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stamkos
Home
54.2% (638)
55.3% (349)
Away
51.0% (673)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Suzuki
Stamkos
P1
51.5%
57.0%
P2
53.3%
59.2%
P3
52.4%
51.5%
OT
58.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |