Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Seguin 55.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Suzuki
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Suzuki
Seguin
Last 7: Suzuki 3-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Suzuki
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Suzuki
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
56.5% (712)
-6.2%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
59.7% (67)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
44.9% (49)
-1.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Suzuki shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Seguin
Home
53.6% (711)
58.5% (402)
Away
45.5% (699)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Suzuki
Seguin
P1
48.5%
58.4%
P2
51.7%
54.7%
P3
49.0%
54.1%
OT
43.5%
72.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | OT | 01:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |