Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.4%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hischier
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hischier
O'Reilly
Last 7: Hischier 3-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Hischier
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Hischier
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
55.4% (826)
-0.4%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
57.9% (221)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
50.4% (129)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Hischier shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Hischier
O'Reilly
Home
56.5% (763)
55.8% (579)
Away
54.0% (745)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Hischier
O'Reilly
P1
56.0%
57.7%
P2
57.6%
54.8%
P3
53.0%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |