Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hischier wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Hischier
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Hischier
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hischier 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Hischier
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Hischier
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Hischier
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
55.0% (1,084)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
56.8% (303)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
40.3% (149)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Hischier shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Hischier
O'Reilly
Home
56.5% (706)
54.8% (759)
Away
56.7% (681)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Hischier
O'Reilly
P1
54.8%
55.3%
P2
57.8%
51.9%
P3
57.6%
54.2%
OT
14.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
54.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |