Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 51.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 67.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Hischier
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Hischier
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hischier 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
3
Hischier
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Hischier
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hischier
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,011)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.6%
Power Play
58.2% (261)
60.4% (260)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (130)
54.0% (261)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Hischier shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Hischier
O'Reilly
Home
52.8% (665)
54.9% (801)
Away
51.4% (737)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Hischier
O'Reilly
P1
53.8%
58.0%
P2
53.8%
56.7%
P3
49.5%
55.4%
OT
35.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |