Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 75-51 in 126 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 76.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 78.5%
Neutral zone
Hischier 76.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Hischier
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
75
(126 meetings)
51
75
Hischier
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hischier 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
26
24
Hischier
O'Reilly
50 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
12
26
Hischier
O'Reilly
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
13
25
Hischier
O'Reilly
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
56.2% (15,260)
-4.7%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
58.8% (3,445)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
51.4% (2,811)
-2.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Hischier shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Hischier
O'Reilly
Home
53.0% (5,449)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Hischier
O'Reilly
P1
52.9%
55.6%
P2
52.4%
57.0%
P3
52.6%
55.1%
OT
50.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |