Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 55.7%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Hischier wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.9%
Defensive zone
Hischier 70.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Hischier
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Hischier
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hischier 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
9
Hischier
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Hischier
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hischier
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
56.2% (983)
-0.4%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
55.5% (254)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
52.0% (102)
-4.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Hischier shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Hischier
O'Reilly
Home
56.5% (867)
56.2% (697)
Away
54.6% (910)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Hischier
O'Reilly
P1
57.9%
54.5%
P2
55.9%
55.5%
P3
52.7%
57.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |