Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 71.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hischier 56.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Hischier
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Hischier
O'Reilly
Last 10: Hischier 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hischier
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Hischier
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Hischier
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
56.1% (690)
-3.7%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
64.6% (96)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
45.9% (109)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Hischier shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Hischier
O'Reilly
Home
53.4% (844)
58.3% (408)
Away
54.3% (810)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Hischier
O'Reilly
P1
49.7%
57.7%
P2
54.6%
54.8%
P3
56.1%
55.2%
OT
65.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
53.9%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |