Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 43.6% vs Stamkos 52.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 84.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 70.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 77.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Hischier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hischier
Stamkos
Last 8: Hischier 5-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
2
Hischier
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (912)
51.4% (725)
-9.0%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
53.7% (123)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (28)
61.4% (44)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hischier is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Hischier shoots left. Stamkos is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Hischier
Stamkos
Home
44.6% (507)
53.3% (426)
Away
41.2% (476)
51.3% (466)
By Period
Hischier
Stamkos
P1
47.6%
56.6%
P2
39.9%
48.2%
P3
41.3%
52.7%
OT
38.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
34.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
42.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |