Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.8%). Hischier wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.0%
Defensive zone
Hischier 50.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hischier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hischier
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
55.3% (628)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
55.1% (216)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
40.2% (87)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Hischier shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Hischier
Stamkos
Home
53.4% (844)
55.5% (499)
Away
54.3% (810)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Hischier
Stamkos
P1
49.7%
50.7%
P2
54.6%
53.8%
P3
56.1%
55.9%
OT
65.5%
87.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |