Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.8%
Defensive zone
Hischier 71.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 58.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Hischier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hischier
Stamkos
Last 6: Hischier 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Hischier
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
49.3% (670)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
53.7% (121)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
33.3% (3)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Hischier shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Hischier
Stamkos
Home
56.5% (867)
54.0% (400)
Away
54.6% (910)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Hischier
Stamkos
P1
57.9%
48.6%
P2
55.9%
54.5%
P3
52.7%
45.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |