Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 56.0%). Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 51.4%
Defensive zone
Hischier 57.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Hischier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hischier
Stamkos
Last 6: Hischier 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Hischier
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
55.9% (499)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
56.3% (126)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
58.3% (12)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Hischier shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Hischier
Stamkos
Home
56.5% (706)
55.3% (349)
Away
56.7% (681)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Hischier
Stamkos
P1
54.8%
57.0%
P2
57.8%
59.2%
P3
57.6%
51.5%
OT
14.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |