Nico Hischier vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 31-30 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 50.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 54.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Hischier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
31
(61 meetings)
30
31
Hischier
Stamkos
Last 10: Hischier 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
6
14
Hischier
Stamkos
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
13
6
Hischier
Stamkos
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Hischier
Stamkos
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
50.4% (9,799)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
55.1% (1,725)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
49.7% (825)
-0.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Hischier shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Hischier
Stamkos
Home
53.0% (5,449)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Hischier
Stamkos
P1
52.9%
49.1%
P2
52.4%
52.7%
P3
52.6%
50.9%
OT
50.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |