Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.5%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 51.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 55.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 61.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Hischier
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Hischier
Hertl
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
3
Hischier
Hertl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Hischier
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,011)
51.6% (1,084)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.2% (261)
61.0% (246)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (130)
44.1% (136)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Hischier shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Hischier
Hertl
Home
52.8% (665)
55.2% (696)
Away
51.4% (737)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Hischier
Hertl
P1
53.8%
55.4%
P2
53.8%
54.8%
P3
49.5%
48.9%
OT
35.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |