Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 57.5%). Hischier wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Hertl 56.8% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 63.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 57.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Hischier
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hischier
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Hischier
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
57.0% (718)
-0.9%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
64.9% (188)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
44.2% (77)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Hischier shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Hischier
Hertl
Home
56.5% (706)
59.2% (463)
Away
56.7% (681)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Hischier
Hertl
P1
54.8%
56.3%
P2
57.8%
55.4%
P3
57.6%
60.5%
OT
14.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |