Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.8%). Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Hertl 54.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 68.8%
Defensive zone
Hertl 52.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Hischier
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Hischier
Hertl
Last 10: Hischier 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
5
0
Hischier
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
2
Hischier
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
54.1% (1,117)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
59.8% (296)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
34.4% (32)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Hischier shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Hischier
Hertl
Home
53.4% (844)
54.3% (709)
Away
54.3% (810)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Hischier
Hertl
P1
49.7%
51.6%
P2
54.6%
53.6%
P3
56.1%
58.6%
OT
65.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |