Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Sturm 56.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 68.6%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 65.6%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 68.5%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Gaunce
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaunce
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Gaunce
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
57.1% (2,719)
-5.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.3% (62)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
51.0% (498)
+4.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Sturm
Home
49.9% (525)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
54.5% (470)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Gaunce
Sturm
P1
53.6%
56.5%
P2
47.4%
54.9%
P3
55.0%
57.4%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |