Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Sturm 56.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 71.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 54.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Draisaitl
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
25
(42 meetings)
17
25
Draisaitl
Sturm
Last 10: Draisaitl 3-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
13
6
Draisaitl
Sturm
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
15
Draisaitl
Sturm
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
4
Draisaitl
Sturm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
57.1% (2,719)
-4.2%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
61.3% (62)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
51.0% (498)
+0.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Draisaitl shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Sturm
Home
54.6% (7,049)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Draisaitl
Sturm
P1
52.7%
56.5%
P2
53.6%
54.9%
P3
53.4%
57.4%
OT
57.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |