Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.4% vs Sturm 52.5% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 59.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 92.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 81.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Beniers
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beniers
Sturm
Last 5: Beniers 4-1 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Beniers
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (89)
54.0% (480)
-12.4%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (102)
-50.0%
On power play, Beniers has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Beniers is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Beniers shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Beniers
Sturm
Home
62.2% (45)
54.0% (287)
Away
23.4% (47)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Beniers
Sturm
P1
51.5%
53.5%
P2
25.0%
51.0%
P3
50.0%
55.1%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
25.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |