Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 55.3%). Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Danault 54.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 71.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 51.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 58.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Sturm
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sturm
Danault
Last 6: Sturm 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Sturm
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
56.5% (711)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
51.7% (116)
+2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Sturm
Danault
Home
53.0% (168)
57.0% (379)
Away
56.0% (193)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Sturm
Danault
P1
58.2%
55.8%
P2
53.2%
55.3%
P3
52.3%
54.8%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |