Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.6%). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Danault 53.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 79.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 55.9%
Neutral zone
Danault 53.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Sturm
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sturm
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
54.0% (985)
+0.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.1% (131)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
43.8% (146)
+6.2%
On power play, Danault has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Danault is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Sturm
Danault
Home
54.0% (287)
54.7% (636)
Away
52.0% (302)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Sturm
Danault
P1
53.5%
54.1%
P2
51.0%
54.3%
P3
55.1%
52.5%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |