Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Danault 52.1% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 51.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 76.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Sturm
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sturm
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
52.4% (958)
+9.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
62.0% (71)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
47.6% (187)
-8.9%
On power play, Sturm has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Sturm
Danault
Home
61.8% (191)
51.2% (605)
Away
56.3% (231)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Sturm
Danault
P1
58.0%
53.1%
P2
57.9%
49.8%
P3
60.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |