Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Danault 51.7% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 57.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 55.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Sturm
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
52.6% (895)
+8.0%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
55.7% (97)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
45.5% (165)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Sturm
Danault
Home
61.6% (451)
54.0% (581)
Away
58.2% (376)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Sturm
Danault
P1
55.9%
53.7%
P2
58.9%
55.3%
P3
64.6%
46.5%
OT
70.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |