Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Danault 53.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 60.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 54.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Sturm
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Sturm
Danault
Last 10: Sturm 8-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Sturm
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
8
2
Sturm
Danault
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
53.6% (9,447)
+3.5%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
61.4% (757)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
47.4% (1,702)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Home / Away
Sturm
Danault
Home
57.1% (1,614)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Sturm
Danault
P1
56.5%
53.7%
P2
54.9%
53.5%
P3
57.4%
52.7%
OT
60.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 17, 2022 | OT | 04:51 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |