Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Dubois 49.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 71.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.5%
Neutral zone
Dubois 52.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Sturm
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Sturm
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Sturm
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
49.3% (842)
+11.3%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
57.1% (35)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
55.6% (9)
+0.8%
On even strength, Sturm has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Sturm
Dubois
Home
61.6% (451)
51.0% (445)
Away
58.2% (376)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Sturm
Dubois
P1
55.9%
50.3%
P2
58.9%
49.5%
P3
64.6%
49.0%
OT
70.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |