Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Dubois 49.4% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Dubois 73.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Sturm
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
46.2% (225)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
75.0% (8)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Sturm
Dubois
Home
53.0% (168)
46.6% (163)
Away
56.0% (193)
53.6% (97)
By Period
Sturm
Dubois
P1
58.2%
45.0%
P2
53.2%
52.3%
P3
52.3%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%