Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Dubois 49.7% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 69.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 51.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.4%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Sturm
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sturm
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
49.8% (1,064)
+12.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
46.3% (67)
+28.7%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
53.3% (30)
-14.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Sturm
Dubois
Home
61.8% (191)
48.3% (582)
Away
56.3% (231)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Sturm
Dubois
P1
58.0%
52.0%
P2
57.9%
49.9%
P3
60.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |