Nico Sturm vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 56.1% vs Dubois 46.7% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 89.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 65.0%
Neutral zone
Dubois 64.1%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Sturm
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Sturm
Dubois
Last 10: Sturm 4-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
8
Sturm
Dubois
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
6
1
Sturm
Dubois
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Sturm
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,719)
46.2% (7,002)
+10.9%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
51.3% (606)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (498)
48.1% (108)
+2.9%
On even strength, Sturm has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Sturm shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Home / Away
Sturm
Dubois
Home
57.1% (1,614)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
55.4% (1,665)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
Sturm
Dubois
P1
56.5%
47.6%
P2
54.9%
45.6%
P3
57.4%
46.8%
OT
60.6%
48.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |