Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Zegras 43.3% (+21.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 59.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 86.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Sturm
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
39.8% (128)
+20.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
22.2% (9)
+38.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
0.0% (1)
+56.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Sturm
Zegras
Home
61.6% (451)
29.7% (74)
Away
58.2% (376)
48.4% (64)
By Period
Sturm
Zegras
P1
55.9%
40.7%
P2
58.9%
35.1%
P3
64.6%
41.0%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.4%