Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +22.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Zegras 41.3% (+22.2%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 63.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 61.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Sturm
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
36.5% (156)
+25.6%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
40.7% (27)
+34.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
0.0% (3)
+38.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Sturm
Zegras
Home
61.8% (191)
38.9% (113)
Away
56.3% (231)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Sturm
Zegras
P1
58.0%
40.0%
P2
57.9%
38.1%
P3
60.6%
31.6%
Final 5 min
58.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%