Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +24.3% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Zegras 35.4% (+24.3%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 80.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 85.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 61.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Sturm
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
29.6% (230)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
100.0% (1)
-45.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Sturm
Zegras
Home
53.0% (168)
30.6% (147)
Away
56.0% (193)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Sturm
Zegras
P1
58.2%
33.0%
P2
53.2%
31.7%
P3
52.3%
25.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%