Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 54.1% vs Gourde 45.6% (+10.7%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 57.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 63.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Sturm
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (233)
47.1% (463)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (74)
29.9% (67)
+29.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Sturm is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Sturm shoots left. Gourde is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Sturm
Gourde
Home
54.4% (149)
42.3% (215)
Away
56.3% (158)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Sturm
Gourde
P1
57.1%
44.8%
P2
55.0%
49.1%
P3
53.7%
40.1%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%