Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 46.8%). Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 47.3% vs Roy 47.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Mittelstadt
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Mittelstadt
Roy
Last 10: Mittelstadt 9-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
0
Mittelstadt
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
4
0
Mittelstadt
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (935)
47.5% (617)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.3% (173)
39.6% (53)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
46.4% (97)
+3.6%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Mittelstadt is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Roy
Home
47.7% (583)
47.2% (398)
Away
46.4% (541)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Roy
P1
50.0%
48.6%
P2
46.2%
48.8%
P3
45.5%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |