Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Roy 47.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 63.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 65.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Lazar
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lazar
Roy
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Lazar
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
48.6% (679)
+2.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
48.0% (50)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
34.7% (49)
+12.5%
On power play, Lazar has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Roy is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Lazar
Roy
Home
49.7% (163)
49.3% (345)
Away
52.3% (237)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Lazar
Roy
P1
46.9%
47.6%
P2
53.3%
47.1%
P3
53.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |