Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Roy 48.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 21-12 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 89.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 64.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Malkin
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
12
(33 meetings)
21
12
Malkin
Roy
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
8
0
Malkin
Roy
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
7
Malkin
Roy
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
10
5
Malkin
Roy
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
48.7% (3,719)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
49.5% (283)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
45.5% (477)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Malkin
Roy
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Malkin
Roy
P1
45.9%
50.8%
P2
46.2%
46.3%
P3
45.2%
48.1%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |