Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.2% vs Roy 51.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 82.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.6%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 59.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Jankowski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jankowski
Roy
Last 7: Jankowski 6-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (515)
51.9% (545)
+1.9%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
54.1% (37)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
53.3% (92)
+4.6%
On power play, Roy has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jankowski is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Jankowski shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Roy
Home
53.9% (310)
54.0% (328)
Away
53.7% (255)
50.6% (346)
By Period
Jankowski
Roy
P1
54.4%
53.3%
P2
55.7%
51.8%
P3
51.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |