Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Roy 48.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.5%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 53.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Scheifele
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Scheifele
Roy
Last 8: Scheifele 1-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Scheifele
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Scheifele
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Scheifele
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,011)
50.6% (176)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
37.5% (8)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
11.1% (9)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Scheifele is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Scheifele shoots right. Roy is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Roy
Home
50.4% (691)
50.0% (88)
Away
43.0% (598)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Scheifele
Roy
P1
46.7%
57.7%
P2
48.1%
46.6%
P3
46.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
45.0%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |