Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Roy 48.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 87.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 66.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 75.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Backlund
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Backlund
Roy
Last 7: Backlund 7-0 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
48.3% (633)
+3.6%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
52.1% (48)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
43.7% (87)
+0.6%
On even strength, Backlund has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Backlund
Roy
Home
51.9% (673)
50.8% (376)
Away
49.9% (713)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Backlund
Roy
P1
51.4%
53.8%
P2
50.5%
43.5%
P3
51.4%
46.4%
OT
35.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |