Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+15.5%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 67.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Roy
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
36.7% (30)
+12.8%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
28.6% (7)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
0.0% (2)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Roy
Buchnevich
Home
47.7% (491)
31.3% (16)
Away
50.0% (440)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Roy
Buchnevich
P1
51.1%
35.7%
P2
44.6%
33.3%
P3
50.9%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.7%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.3%