Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 53.0% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+13.3%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 72.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Roy
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (449)
41.0% (78)
+12.9%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
44.4% (9)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (78)
20.0% (5)
+31.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Roy shoots right. Buchnevich is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Roy
Buchnevich
Home
54.9% (293)
40.0% (60)
Away
51.9% (264)
40.6% (32)
By Period
Roy
Buchnevich
P1
55.0%
38.1%
P2
51.7%
30.8%
P3
53.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
40.2%