Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+14.6%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 72.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Roy
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
37.7% (154)
+14.2%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
42.9% (14)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
30.0% (10)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Buchnevich is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
Roy
Buchnevich
Home
54.0% (328)
37.4% (91)
Away
50.6% (348)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Roy
Buchnevich
P1
53.5%
38.9%
P2
51.6%
31.5%
P3
51.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%