Nicolas Roy vs Pavel Buchnevich

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nicolas Roy holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Roy 48.4% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+14.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Roy 61.0%
Defensive zone Roy 91.9%
Neutral zone Roy 85.2%
Result Nicolas Roy favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Roy Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 3 (9 meetings)
6
3
Roy Buchnevich
Last 9: Roy 6-3 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Roy Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy Buchnevich
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy Buchnevich
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Roy
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
33.7% (895)
+15.0%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
44.2% (52)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
24.3% (37)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +21.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Roy
Buchnevich
Home
49.5% (2,221)
34.7% (490)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Roy
Buchnevich
P1
50.8%
34.4%
P2
46.3%
33.7%
P3
48.1%
33.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
37.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%
49.0%
48.4%
Buchnevich
36.0%
38.5%
33.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 20, 2025 1 02:22 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Oct 11, 2024 3 00:40 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 2 16:45 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Oct 11, 2024 1 18:13 Neutral Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 1 03:34 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 1 00:34 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Mar 25, 2024 1 01:29 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 25, 2024 1 01:25 Offensive Nicolas Roy
Nov 12, 2022 2 07:33 Defensive Nicolas Roy