Nicolas Roy vs Pavel Buchnevich

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nicolas Roy holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Roy 48.5% vs Buchnevich 35.5% (+14.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Roy 64.1%
Defensive zone Roy 92.5%
Neutral zone Roy 87.3%
Result Nicolas Roy favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Roy Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 3 (9 meetings)
6
3
Roy Buchnevich
Last 9: Roy 6-3 Buchnevich

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Roy Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy Buchnevich
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy Buchnevich
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Roy
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (3,621)
33.7% (819)
+15.2%
Power Play
49.3% (276)
44.7% (47)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (463)
21.9% (32)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +23.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Roy is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,208).
Roy shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Roy
Buchnevich
Home
49.5% (2,186)
34.9% (459)
Away
47.4% (2,174)
32.8% (439)
By Period
Roy
Buchnevich
P1
51.0%
33.9%
P2
46.1%
33.9%
P3
48.3%
33.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
37.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%
52.0%
48.5%
Buchnevich
40.0%
41.0%
33.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 20, 2025 1 02:22 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Oct 11, 2024 3 00:40 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 2 16:45 Offensive Pavel Buchnevich
Oct 11, 2024 1 18:13 Neutral Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 1 03:34 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Oct 11, 2024 1 00:34 Defensive Nicolas Roy
Mar 25, 2024 1 01:29 Defensive Pavel Buchnevich
Mar 25, 2024 1 01:25 Offensive Nicolas Roy
Nov 12, 2022 2 07:33 Defensive Nicolas Roy