Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.0%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Zacha 51.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 57.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Roy
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Roy
Zacha
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Roy
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Roy
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
53.3% (646)
-1.4%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
53.0% (100)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
38.9% (72)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Roy
Zacha
Home
54.0% (328)
51.7% (410)
Away
50.6% (348)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Roy
Zacha
P1
53.5%
57.7%
P2
51.6%
48.9%
P3
51.6%
50.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |