Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Zacha 50.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 56.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 69.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Roy
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roy
Zacha
Last 6: Roy 3-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Roy
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
48.0% (296)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
61.0% (59)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
50.0% (22)
-7.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Roy
Zacha
Home
47.7% (491)
48.9% (223)
Away
50.0% (440)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Roy
Zacha
P1
51.1%
47.9%
P2
44.6%
48.3%
P3
50.9%
54.3%
OT
42.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |