Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Zacha 46.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 75.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 76.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Roy
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Roy
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Roy
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
45.3% (247)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
58.1% (31)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
22.2% (18)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Roy
Zacha
Home
50.8% (376)
39.7% (131)
Away
45.4% (392)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Roy
Zacha
P1
53.8%
42.9%
P2
43.5%
46.4%
P3
46.4%
42.3%
OT
75.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |