Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Hartman 44.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 77.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 52.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 63.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Roy
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Roy
Hartman
Last 8: Roy 2-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
5
Roy
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
42.6% (495)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
38.5% (26)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
48.8% (43)
-5.1%
On power play, Roy has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Roy shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Roy
Hartman
Home
50.8% (376)
43.4% (288)
Away
45.4% (392)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Roy
Hartman
P1
53.8%
43.1%
P2
43.5%
43.4%
P3
46.4%
42.0%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |