Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Roy wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Hartman 45.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 70.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Roy
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
19
(36 meetings)
17
19
Roy
Hartman
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
6
11
Roy
Hartman
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
0
Roy
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
7
8
Roy
Hartman
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
45.2% (4,235)
+3.5%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
47.4% (443)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
42.4% (262)
+3.1%
On even strength, Roy has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Roy shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Roy
Hartman
Home
49.5% (2,221)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Roy
Hartman
P1
50.8%
46.0%
P2
46.3%
42.9%
P3
48.1%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |