Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 47.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.2% vs Hartman 47.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 69.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Roy
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Roy
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (617)
47.1% (649)
+0.4%
Power Play
39.6% (53)
47.1% (68)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (97)
45.2% (73)
+1.2%
On power play, Hartman has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Roy shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Roy
Hartman
Home
47.2% (398)
46.5% (361)
Away
46.3% (369)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Roy
Hartman
P1
48.6%
45.1%
P2
48.8%
44.4%
P3
43.9%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |