Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.3%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Steel 49.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 55.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 55.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 60.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Roy
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Roy
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
49.3% (383)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
59.1% (22)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
14.3% (7)
+28.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Roy
Steel
Home
47.7% (491)
49.4% (180)
Away
50.0% (440)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Roy
Steel
P1
51.1%
51.9%
P2
44.6%
43.8%
P3
50.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |